FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction: Mainz to keep their perfect away record
Reviewed by Elison · Sat 17 Oct 2026Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04FULL-TIME
FSV Mainz 05Saturday 17 October 2026 · 15:30
Our score 1-2Missed
FSV Mainz 05 to win@ 2.34
1xBet
FSV Mainz 05 have won both of their away league games this season, scoring nine goals across those two fixtures, and the bookmakers make them a 42% chance to win here at 2.34 with 1xBet.
Form: Schalke have won just once in their last five, while Mainz have won both of their away games in that same span.
Team news: Sylla is ruled out for Schalke with a leg injury and Ljubičić is doubtful with a knee injury, while Kohr, Ruoppi, Silas and Zentner are all ruled out for Mainz.
Read the post-match analysis →Read the match previewTrack Record
Bundesliga Saturday: Schalke host free-scoring Mainz
FC Schalke 04 welcome FSV Mainz 05 to a Saturday afternoon Bundesliga fixture, with Schalke sitting in the lower half of the standings and Mainz in the upper half. Schalke sit 14th with five points from five league games, while Mainz are ninth with seven points from five. The visitors arrive on the back of a week's rest after their most recent outing, a day more than Schalke going into this one.
Form guide
FC Schalke 04
2-1FC Schalke 040-0
SV Elversberg
1-3FC Schalke 040-0
Bayern München
3-0FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
3-4FSV Mainz 051-3
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-5FSV Mainz 050-0
SC Paderborn 07Last 5 meetings
Our prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to win
The bookmakers make FSV Mainz 05 the favourites at 2.34 with 1xBet, and their away record this season makes that easy to understand. Mainz have won both of their away league games in 2026-27, scoring at a rate of 4.50 goals per game on the road while conceding just 1.50 per game away from home. Their average expected goals across their last five matches sits at 2.36, underlining how consistently they create chances wherever they play.
Schalke, by contrast, have not scored in either of their two home league games this season. Their average xG across their last five matches is just 1.23, and the most recent outing — a 1-2 defeat away at SC Freiburg — saw them produce only 0.32 xG. The bookmakers put their chances of winning here at 31%, and with Sylla ruled out through a leg injury and Ljubičić doubtful with a knee problem, their attacking options are further reduced.
Mainz’s away form is the decisive factor. We predict FSV Mainz 05 to win 2-1.
Other tips
The both teams to score market looks appealing at 1.53. Schalke have not scored at home this season, but both teams scored in two of Schalke’s last three games and in three of Mainz’s last four, and the bookmakers put the chance of both teams scoring at 62%.
With a combined average xG of 1.23 for Schalke and 2.36 for Mainz, there is enough firepower to make over 2.5 goals at 1.70 a sensible call. The bookmakers put the chance of over 2.5 goals at 58%, and Mainz's last three games alone produced 18 goals between the two sides.
Finally, given that Mainz have scored nine goals in their two away games this season, FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals at 1.90 is worth consideration as a longer-range possibility if they produce another high-scoring away performance.
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet |
3.16 | 3.68 | 2.34 |
 bet365 |
3.00 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
 William Hill |
3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.
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