Prediction

Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction: Chelsea to edge a tense afternoon affair

By Elison · Sun 8 Nov 2026

Premier League

Sunderland
0 – 1
OUR SCORE
Chelsea

Sunday 8 November 2026 · 15:00

🔥 HOT TIP

Chelsea to win@ 2.04

1xBet

Chelsea have won two of their four Premier League away games this season, scoring at 1.50 goals per game on the road, while Sunderland sit twentieth in the Premier League with just five points from nine games and concede 1.89 per game across the season.

⚡ Under 2.5 goals@ 2.08Possible
⚡ Sunderland under 1.5 goals@ 1.43Probable

Form: Sunderland have won just once in their last five matches across all competitions, while Chelsea have won three of their last five.

Chelsea travel to Sunderland on Sunday afternoon as clear favourites, with the bookmakers making a Chelsea win a 47% chance and pricing it at 2.04 with 1xBet. Sunderland sit twentieth in the Premier League with five points from nine games and a goal difference of minus ten, while Chelsea are fourth with sixteen points from nine.

Form guide

Sunderland

SunderlandSunderland0-2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
CoventryCoventry3-1SunderlandSunderland
SunderlandSunderland3-2BrentfordBrentford
SunderlandSunderland0-0LeedsLeeds
Lech PoznanLech Poznan1-1SunderlandSunderland

Chelsea

ChelseaChelsea2-0Manchester UnitedManchester United
LiverpoolLiverpool1-1ChelseaChelsea
ChelseaChelsea0-2TottenhamTottenham
EvertonEverton0-2ChelseaChelsea
ChelseaChelsea5-1BournemouthBournemouth

Last 5 meetings

24 May 2026Premier LeagueSunderland2-1Chelsea
25 Oct 2025Premier LeagueChelsea1-2Sunderland
21 May 2017Premier LeagueChelsea5-1Sunderland
14 Dec 2016Premier LeagueSunderland0-1Chelsea
7 May 2016Premier LeagueSunderland3-2Chelsea

Our prediction

Sunderland have failed to win either of their two league games among their last five matches across all competitions, taking just a draw and a defeat. Their home Premier League record this season shows one win, one draw and two defeats from four games, with one goal scored at 0.25 per game and four conceded at 1.00 per game.

Chelsea's last five matches have produced an average xG of 1.53, and they have kept two clean sheets in that run. In their one away league game among their four league games in this stretch, they won, kept a clean sheet and scored twice. Sunderland have kept no clean sheet in their last three matches, and we expect Chelsea to take all three points by a single goal.

Head-to-head, Sunderland have won three of the last five competitive meetings between these clubs, while Chelsea have won the other two, with no draws.

Sunderland will also carry more fatigue into this fixture: they last played on Thursday, 5 November, giving them three days’ rest, while Chelsea last played on Saturday, 31 October, meaning eight days between games.

Other tips

Under 2.5 goals is rated Possible. Chelsea score an average of 2.11 goals per game in the Premier League this season, and the bookmakers put over 2.5 goals at 53%. A tight, low-scoring Chelsea win would make under 2.5 goals a real possibility, though the bookmakers lean the other way, and it is Possible at 2.08. Against that, one of Sunderland's three home games among the last five had three goals or more.

Even accounting for Chelsea conceding 1.75 goals per game in away league games this season, Sunderland's offensive struggles at home make it Probable that they finish with no more than one goal here, at 1.43.

Best odds for this matchOur pick: Chelsea to win · best price first
Bookmaker Home Draw Away Bet
1xBet 3.78 3.82 2.04 Bet at 1xBet
Betano 3.80 3.70 2.02 Bet at Betano
bet365 3.60 3.60 2.00 Bet at bet365

18+ only. Odds correct when published and may change. We may earn a commission when you join a bookmaker through our links; it never changes our picks. Please bet responsibly — BeGambleAware.org

Earlier on Sunderland and Chelsea

Our previous coverage of both clubs.

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By Elison

Writes match previews, predictions, and post-match analysis for MatchDayValue, covering the top five European leagues and Europe's continental competitions.

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