Prediction

Lecce vs Bologna: Serie A prediction and betting tips

Reviewed by Elison · Sun 11 Oct 2026

Serie A

Lecce
1 – 2
FULL-TIME
Bologna

Sunday 11 October 2026 · 15:00

Our score 1-1Missed

🔥 HOT TIP✗ Lost

Full-time draw@ 3.50

Betano

Two of the last three meetings between these sides ended level, and both teams arrive in poor form: Lecce have won just once in their last four, and Bologna are without a win in their last five.

⚡ Full-time draw@ 3.50Possible
⚡ Under 2.5 goalsPossible

Form: Lecce have won just once in their last four Serie A matches while Bologna are winless in their last five, picking up only two draws in that run.
Team news: Lecce are without Berisha (lacking match fitness) and Stulic (muscle injury), while Bologna miss Holm, Mbangula and Odgaard, all ruled out through injury.

Serie A: Lecce Host Bologna in a Battle of Struggling Sides

Sunday’s early Serie A kick-off brings together two clubs who will be desperate to arrest losing habits. Lecce welcome Bologna in a fixture that, on current evidence, looks likely to be tight and low on quality — even if not necessarily low on tension.

Lecce’s recent record makes for uncomfortable reading. They have managed just one win in their last four Serie A matches, conceding ten goals across their last five outings. Bologna are no better placed: they have failed to win any of their last five league games, collecting two draws and suffering three defeats in that stretch. Neither side carries momentum into this fixture.

Form guide

Lecce

AC MilanAC Milan3-0LecceLecce
LecceLecce3-2MonzaMonza
CagliariCagliari1-0LecceLecce
LecceLecce0-4AS RomaAS Roma
VeneziaVenezia0-2LecceLecce

Bologna

BolognaBologna1-1TorinoTorino
NapoliNapoli1-0BolognaBologna
BolognaBologna2-2SassuoloSassuolo
AtalantaAtalanta1-0BolognaBologna
BolognaBologna0-1LazioLazio

Last 5 meetings

12 Apr 2026Serie ABologna2-0Lecce
28 Sep 2025Serie ALecce2-2Bologna
9 Feb 2025Serie ALecce0-0Bologna
2 Nov 2024Serie ABologna1-0Lecce
11 Feb 2024Serie ABologna4-0Lecce

Our Prediction: Back the Draw

The case for a draw rests on several overlapping threads. In the last three competitive meetings between these clubs, two have ended level — and Bologna have taken just one win from that run. While Bologna’s overall head-to-head record over the last five encounters leans in their favour, recent clashes suggest Lecce are capable of holding their own at home, at least to a point.

Bologna’s away record is particularly damaging to their cause here. In their two away games in the last five, they have failed to score on both occasions, losing each time. That road fragility makes backing them at around 1.91 with bet365 a harder sell than the price implies, despite their superior historical record against Lecce.

With Lecce missing Berisha and Stulic, and Bologna without Holm, Odgaard and Mbangula through injury, neither side is operating with a full complement. Depleted squads, poor recent form on both sides and a head-to-head history that includes two draws in the last three meetings all point toward a share of the spoils. The draw is available at 3.30 with both bet365 and Betfair, and that represents a fair reflection of a genuinely balanced contest.

Other Tips to Consider

Under 2.5 goals is worth considering given the attacking struggles on display. Lecce have failed to score in three of their last five matches overall, while Bologna have drawn a blank in three of their last five as well. Goals have not been flowing freely for either side, and a low-scoring affair fits the profile of this fixture neatly.

If you prefer backing a winner, Bologna at roughly 1.91 remains the logical side to support. They have three wins from the last five meetings between these clubs and are clear favourites with the bookmakers. However, their inability to score away from home in recent weeks is a significant concern, and the draw remains our headline call for this one.

Odds before kick-offOur pick: Draw
Bookmaker Home Draw Away
Betano 4.25 3.50 2.00
1xBet 4.58 3.44 1.98
BetVictor 4.10 3.40 1.91

Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.

18+ only. Please bet responsibly — BeGambleAware.org

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Reviewed by Elison

Writes match previews, predictions, and post-match analysis for MatchDayValue, covering the top five European leagues and Europe's continental competitions.

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