Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction: Brighton to make home advantage count
Reviewed by Elison · Sun 18 Oct 2026Premier League
BrightonFULL-TIME
Crystal PalaceSunday 18 October 2026 · 15:00
Our score 2-1Missed
Brighton to win@ 1.54
1xBet
Brighton have won all five of their last five matches, kept clean sheets in their two most recent home games, and the bookmakers make them a 63% chance to win this one.
Form: Brighton are in perfect form with five wins from five, while Crystal Palace have won two and lost two of their last five.
Team news: Azeez, Ferguson, Minteh, Mitoma, Tzimas, Wieffer and Yohanna are all ruled out for Brighton, with Struijk doubtful; Crystal Palace are without Disasi through suspension and Riad through a knee injury, while Chilwell, Henderson, Mateta and Tomiyasu are all doubtful.
Read the post-match analysis →Read the match previewTrack Record
Brighton in commanding form
Brighton head into this Sunday afternoon fixture having won all five of their last five matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding just two across that run. In their three league games among those five, they have kept clean sheets in every one and scored ten times. Third in the Premier League with 13 points from six games, they are averaging 3.00 goals scored per game in the league this season, and their expected goals average across their last four matches stands at 2.39. The bookmakers make Brighton a 63% chance to win, with a best price of 1.54 with 1xBet.
Crystal Palace carrying some uncertainty
Crystal Palace arrive having won two and lost two of their last five, with a draw in between. Their away form in that period reads one draw and one defeat from two games, with two goals scored and three conceded. In the league this season they have taken seven points from six games, sitting 13th, and are conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. Their expected goals average across their last four matches is 1.43, while they have been conceding an average xG of 2.11 against them in those games.
Head to head
The recent meetings between these two clubs have favoured Crystal Palace, who have won three of the last five competitive encounters, with Brighton taking one win and one match ending in a draw. Both teams scored in three of those five meetings. The last three meetings produced just four goals in total. Brighton’s one win in that run came at home, and they will need to reverse a recent trend if they are to take the points here.
Form guide
Brighton
4-0
Kauno Žalgiris
0-2Brighton3-0
Arsenal
2-3Brighton
0-5BrightonCrystal Palace
3-2Crystal Palace3-1
Nottingham Forest
0-0Crystal Palace4-0
Lech Poznan2-3
IpswichLast 5 meetings
Our prediction
The weight of evidence points firmly towards a Brighton win. They are in outstanding form, are strong at home — keeping clean sheets in both of their last two home games — and the bookmakers back them at 1.54 (1xBet). While the head-to-head record shows Crystal Palace have been capable of causing Brighton problems, Palace’s current injury and suspension concerns, combined with Brighton’s relentless run of results, make a home win the most likely outcome. We are predicting a 2-1 Brighton win, with Palace threatening enough to get on the scoresheet but ultimately falling short.
Other tips
Over 2.5 goals looks a reasonable bet at 1.63. The bookmakers put this at a 61% chance, and with both sides averaging goals across their recent fixtures, a match with three or more goals is a credible outcome. Both teams to score at 1.67 is also worth considering, with the bookmakers putting this chance at 56%, though Brighton have kept clean sheets in both their home games in the last five, which makes a Palace goal far from certain. Our predicted score of 2-1 would see both of these tips land.
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet |
1.54 | 4.83 | 6.26 |
 bet365 |
1.50 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
 William Hill |
1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.
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