Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction: Atalanta’s home form to see off Frosinone
By Elison · Sun 25 Oct 2026Serie A
AtalantaFULL-TIME
FrosinoneSunday 25 October 2026 · 15:00
Our score 2-1Missed
Atalanta to win@ 1.93
Betano
Atalanta have won three of their four home league games this season, conceding just one goal per game at home, and hold a three-to-one advantage over Frosinone in the last five meetings between the clubs.
Form: Atalanta have won both home games in their last five while Frosinone have gone winless in the two away games among their last five.
Team news: Atalanta are without seven players through injury, including Hien, Kessié, Kolašinac, Kossounou, Raspadori, Scalvini and Sulemana, while Grillitsch misses out for Frosinone with a thigh injury.
Read the post-match analysis →Read the match previewTrack Record
Atalanta welcome Frosinone to their home ground on Sunday afternoon, with the hosts sitting eleventh in Serie A and the visitors sixth. The visitors come into this match in better league shape, but the head-to-head record and the home-and-away split favour the hosts.
Form guide
Atalanta
2-0Atalanta
3-2Atalanta3-1
Pafos3-1
Venezia
2-0AtalantaFrosinone
4-2
Sassuolo
3-0Frosinone2-0
Como
1-1Frosinone3-2VeneziaLast 5 meetings
Our prediction: Atalanta win
Atalanta's home form in Serie A this season is the strongest argument for backing them here. Atalanta have won three of their four home league games in Serie A this season, conceding just 1.00 per game at home against 2.33 per game in their three away league games.
The head-to-head history adds further weight. Atalanta have won three of the last five meetings between these clubs, with Frosinone winning once and one match ending in a draw. The last time Atalanta hosted Frosinone, they won 5-0. Seventeen goals were shared across those five meetings in total, a figure that also points towards an open game.
Atalanta's average expected goals against of 1.81 across their last five matches suggests they have been regularly threatened, which may give Frosinone reason for optimism away from home. Nevertheless, the home advantage and the head-to-head record point to Atalanta edging a 2-1 win.
Other tips
Both teams to score is rated Probable. The counter-argument is that Frosinone failed to score in the one away game among their last three matches. Frosinone have scored in two of their three away league games this season and carry an average xG of 1.82 across their last five matches, while Atalanta have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five games. Both sides have shown enough attacking output to make this tip the likelier outcome.
Over 2.5 goals is also rated Probable. Atalanta score at a rate of 1.75 per game at home in the league this season, and Frosinone’s average xG against of 2.24 across their last five matches shows they have regularly faced teams creating chances. With goals expected at both ends, three or more in this match is the more likely outcome. Against that, one of Frosinone’s two away games among the last five had two goals or fewer.
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betano |
1.93 | 4.30 | 3.65 |
 1xBet |
1.92 | 4.28 | 3.85 |
 Betfair |
1.91 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.
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Earlier on Atalanta and Frosinone
Our previous coverage of both clubs.
