Prediction

AS Roma vs Fiorentina: Serie A prediction and betting tips

Reviewed by Elison · Mon 24 Aug 2026

Serie A

AS Roma
4 – 0
FULL-TIME
Fiorentina

Monday 24 August 2026 · 20:45

Our score 2-1Missed

🔥 HOT TIP✓ Won

AS Roma to win@ 1.75

Betano

Every bookmaker prices Roma as clear favourites at home, with odds clustering tightly between 1.63 and 1.75, reflecting strong market confidence in a Roma victory.

⚡ AS Roma to win@ 1.75Probable
⚡ Both teams to scorePossible
⚡ Fiorentina to scorePossible

Roma Host Fiorentina in Monday Night Serie A Clash

AS Roma and Fiorentina meet on Monday 24 August 2026 (20:45 kick-off) in what promises to be an intriguing early-season Serie A encounter.

Our Prediction: AS Roma to Win

Across all eight bookmakers, Roma are priced as clear home favourites. The home-win odds range from 1.63 (Unibet) to 1.75 (Betano), with the majority of books settling around the 1.67–1.70 mark — a tight cluster that suggests strong, uncontested market confidence in a Roma victory. Betfair’s figure of 1.70 represents a reasonable middle-ground estimate of the implied probability, which sits at approximately 59%. That level of consensus across multiple major operators is not something to dismiss lightly. Playing in front of their own supporters, Roma carry the structural advantages of home ground and market backing. Our predicted scoreline of 2-1 reflects a Roma win that is not entirely comfortable — acknowledging that Fiorentina, priced between 4.80 and 5.40 to win outright, are not without their own attacking threat. We lean towards Roma to win, though as always, football can confound even the most market-aligned predictions.

Other Tips to Consider

Our second selection is Both Teams to Score. Even with Fiorentina at lengthy outright-win odds, the draw price — ranging from 3.60 to 4.00 — hints that the market does not expect a shutout. A draw implies both sides have found the net, and when you factor in Roma’s tendency to be competitive at home while also giving opponents opportunities, BTTS carries genuine appeal. We rate this as Possible rather than Probable, but it fits well with our 2-1 scoreline projection.

Closely related, we also flag Fiorentina to Score as a standalone Possible. The away-win odds of 4.80–5.40 suggest Fiorentina are significant underdogs, but underdogs in Serie A regularly find the net even in defeat. A Fiorentina goal at some point during the 90 minutes feels like a reasonable expectation. Please note that all tips carry inherent risk, and odds are subject to change before kick-off.

Odds before kick-offOur pick: AS Roma to win
Bookmaker Home Draw Away
Betano 1.75 3.85 5.20
1xBet 1.73 4.00 5.38
Superbet 1.71 3.90 5.00

Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.

18+ only. Please bet responsibly — BeGambleAware.org

Share
Reviewed by Elison

Writes match previews, predictions, and post-match analysis for MatchDayValue, covering the top five European leagues and Europe's continental competitions.

More predictions

All predictions →
Mon19Oct
Süper Lig · Our score
Trabzonspor2
Beşiktaş1

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş prediction: Trabzonspor to edge a tight Monday night clash

Hot tip Trabzonspor to win2.58best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet
PreviewAnalysis after the match
Sun18Oct
Premier League · Our score
Brighton2
Crystal Palace1
Sat17Oct
Bundesliga · Our score
FC Schalke 041
FSV Mainz 052