Preview

AC Milan vs Bologna: Serie A preview

By Elison · Wed 28 Oct 2026

Serie A

AC Milan

VS
Bologna

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · 18:30

AC Milan host Bologna on Wednesday evening in a Serie A fixture that pits fifth place against thirteenth. Milan arrive unbeaten in the league this season and in strong recent form, while Bologna come looking to build on a positive result on the road last weekend.

Form guide

AC Milan's last five matches have brought three wins, one draw and one defeat. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 victory away at Udinese on 25 October. Three days before that, they lost 3-0 away to Bournemouth in the UEFA Europa League. Four days earlier, on 18 October, they beat Atalanta 3-2 at home in Serie A, and three days before that they won 4-0 away at Red Bull Salzburg in the Europa League. Their fifth most recent game, on 11 October, was a 1-1 draw away at Sassuolo in Serie A. Across those five matches, Milan have scored ten and conceded six, keeping two clean sheets.

Bologna's last five results show two wins, one draw and two defeats. Six days earlier, on 11 October, they won 2-1 away at Lecce. Their fourth most recent game, on 19 September, was a 1-1 draw at home to Torino, and six days before that they lost 1-0 away at Napoli. Across their last five, Bologna have scored six and conceded six. In the two home games among their last five, Bologna have not won, drawing one and losing one, scoring two and conceding four. In the three away games among their last five, Bologna have won twice and lost once, scoring four and conceding two.

Head to head

AC Milan have won three of the last five competitive meetings between these clubs, with Bologna winning the other two and no draws. The most recent meeting was on 3 February 2026, when Bologna hosted Milan and lost 3-0. Before that, on 14 September 2025, Milan won 1-0 at home to Bologna in Serie A. On 14 May 2025, Bologna won 1-0 at Milan in the Coppa Italia, while five days earlier, on 9 May 2025, Milan beat Bologna 3-1 at home in Serie A. The fifth meeting came on 27 February 2025, when Bologna won 2-1 at home to Milan. Both teams scored in two of the five meetings, and the five games produced twelve goals in total.

Team news

AC Milan are without a significant number of players for this match. Matteo Gabbia, Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Diego Moreira are all ruled out with thigh injuries, while Samuel Chukwueze misses out with a hip injury, Mario Gila with an ankle injury, Adrien Rabiot with a calf injury and Alexis Saelemaekers with an ankle injury.

Emil Holm, Orsolini and Piccoli are ruled out for Bologna, and Enem is doubtful.

What to watch

AC Milan's average xG across their last five matches is 2.19, with an average xG against of 1.52. The scale of Milan's absentee list — seven players ruled out — is worth factoring in, even if their league form has been built without some of those players already missing.

Bologna's average xG across their last five matches is 1.17, with an average xG against of 1.50, suggesting they have been conceding more than they create.

The bookmakers make AC Milan a 55% chance to win, with a draw at 26% and a Bologna win at 19%. Under 2.5 goals is a 53% chance, only just ahead of over 2.5 at 47%, and both teams scoring is a 49% chance against 51% for not both teams scoring.

Earlier on AC Milan and Bologna

Our previous coverage of both clubs.

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By Elison

Writes match previews, predictions, and post-match analysis for MatchDayValue, covering the top five European leagues and Europe's continental competitions.

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