AS Roma vs Fiorentina: Serie A prediction and betting tips
Serie A
AS RomaFULL-TIME
FiorentinaMonday 24 August 2026 · 20:45
Our score 2-1Missed
AS Roma to win@ 1.75
Betano
Every bookmaker prices Roma as clear favourites at home, with odds clustering tightly between 1.63 and 1.75, reflecting strong market confidence in a Roma victory.
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Roma Host Fiorentina in Monday Night Serie A Clash
AS Roma and Fiorentina meet on Monday 24 August 2026 (20:45 kick-off) in what promises to be an intriguing early-season Serie A encounter.
Our Prediction: AS Roma to Win
Across all eight bookmakers, Roma are priced as clear home favourites. The home-win odds range from 1.63 (Unibet) to 1.75 (Betano), with the majority of books settling around the 1.67–1.70 mark — a tight cluster that suggests strong, uncontested market confidence in a Roma victory. Betfair’s figure of 1.70 represents a reasonable middle-ground estimate of the implied probability, which sits at approximately 59%. That level of consensus across multiple major operators is not something to dismiss lightly. Playing in front of their own supporters, Roma carry the structural advantages of home ground and market backing. Our predicted scoreline of 2-1 reflects a Roma win that is not entirely comfortable — acknowledging that Fiorentina, priced between 4.80 and 5.40 to win outright, are not without their own attacking threat. We lean towards Roma to win, though as always, football can confound even the most market-aligned predictions.
Other Tips to Consider
Our second selection is Both Teams to Score. Even with Fiorentina at lengthy outright-win odds, the draw price — ranging from 3.60 to 4.00 — hints that the market does not expect a shutout. A draw implies both sides have found the net, and when you factor in Roma’s tendency to be competitive at home while also giving opponents opportunities, BTTS carries genuine appeal. We rate this as Possible rather than Probable, but it fits well with our 2-1 scoreline projection.
Closely related, we also flag Fiorentina to Score as a standalone Possible. The away-win odds of 4.80–5.40 suggest Fiorentina are significant underdogs, but underdogs in Serie A regularly find the net even in defeat. A Fiorentina goal at some point during the 90 minutes feels like a reasonable expectation. Please note that all tips carry inherent risk, and odds are subject to change before kick-off.
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 3.85 | 5.20 | |
| 1.73 | 4.00 | 5.38 | |
| 1.71 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.
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