Prediction

Levante vs Athletic Club prediction: Athletic Club to win away in La Liga

By Elison · Wed 21 Oct 2026

La Liga

Levante
3 – 1
FULL-TIME
Athletic Club

Wednesday 21 October 2026 · 20:00

Our score 1-2Missed

🔥 HOT TIP✗ Lost

Athletic Club to win@ 2.24

1xBet

⚡ Both teams to scoreW@ 1.80Possible
⚡ Over 1.5 goalsW@ 1.32Probable

Form: Levante have not won in their last five games, while Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last five.
Team news: Primo is ruled out with a shoulder injury for Levante, while Eyong and Sotelo are doubtful; Athletic Club are without Egiluz, Guruzeta and Sancet through injury, and Djaló and Nico Williams are doubtful.

Form and context

Levante head into Wednesday evening's game at 17th in La Liga with seven points from eight league games, a goal difference of -4, and a run of three draws and two defeats in their last five. Their three home league games this season have brought one win, one draw and one defeat — scoring ten and conceding nine. Their average xG across their last five matches stands at 1.27, while they have conceded an average xG of 2.32 over that same run, underlining how exposed they have been.

Athletic Club sit 11th in La Liga with nine points from seven league games. They are unbeaten in their last five, with two wins and three draws, and have kept four clean sheets in that spell. Away from home this season Athletic Club have played three league games, winning one, drawing one and losing one, scoring at 0.67 per game and conceding at the same rate. Their average xG across their last five matches is 1.76, with an average xG against of just 0.81, pointing to a side that has been the more defensively sound of the two.

Levante have a day more rest coming in, with five days since their last match against Deportivo La Coruña, against four for Athletic Club after their goalless draw at Valencia.

Head to head

The history between these clubs strongly favours the visitors. Athletic Club have won four and drawn one of the last five competitive meetings, and the three most recent have all gone Athletic Club’s way, with 12 goals shared across those three games. Both teams scored in two of those three, a pattern that is relevant to the tips discussed below.

Form guide

Levante

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña1-1LevanteLevante
LevanteLevante3-3SevillaSevilla
VillarrealVillarreal3-1LevanteLevante
LevanteLevante2-4BarcelonaBarcelona
MálagaMálaga0-0LevanteLevante

Athletic Club

ValenciaValencia0-0Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Athletic ClubAthletic Club0-0AlavésAlavés
Athletic ClubAthletic Club1-1ElcheElche
Athletic ClubAthletic Club3-0Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
Celta VigoCelta Vigo0-2Athletic ClubAthletic Club

Last 5 meetings

8 Feb 2026La LigaAthletic Club4-2Levante
29 Nov 2025La LigaLevante0-2Athletic Club
7 Mar 2022La LigaAthletic Club3-1Levante
19 Nov 2021La LigaLevante0-0Athletic Club
4 Mar 2021Copa del ReyLevante1-2Athletic Club

Our prediction

Athletic Club are the bookmakers' favourite, given a 44% chance of winning — priced at 2.24 with 1xBet — while Levante are rated at 27%. That gap is supported by Athletic Club's superior xG record, their solidity at the back in recent weeks, and a head-to-head record in which Levante have not beaten them in any of the last five meetings. Levante have scored in all three of their home league games this season and may contribute, but Athletic Club's dominance in this fixture points to them leaving with all three points.

Other tips

Both teams to score (best price 1.80) is rated possible. Levante have seen both teams score in four of their last five games overall, and the head-to-head pattern shows both teams scoring in two of the last three meetings. The balance of evidence still leans toward Levante finding the net at home, making both teams to score the more likely outcome. Against that, Athletic Club’s recent run of clean sheets means Levante’s goal is far from certain.

Over 1.5 goals (best price 1.32) is rated probable. Athletic Club’s last three matches have produced just one goal scored and one conceded combined, and their away game at Valencia ended goalless — a real argument against a high-scoring match. Yet Levante’s home league games this season have averaged 3.33 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game, and the recent meetings between the sides have been high-scoring. With a predicted score of 1-2, at least two goals is still the more plausible outcome, and the over 1.5 goals line remains a reasonable selection.

Odds before kick-offOur pick: Athletic Club to win
Bookmaker Home Draw Away
1xBet 3.52 3.52 2.24
Betfair 3.60 3.30 2.15
William Hill 3.30 3.25 2.15

Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.

18+ only. Please bet responsibly — BeGambleAware.org

Earlier on Levante and Athletic Club

Our previous coverage of both clubs.

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By Elison

Writes match previews, predictions, and post-match analysis for MatchDayValue, covering the top five European leagues and Europe's continental competitions.

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