AC Milan vs Bologna prediction: Milan to win a tight home clash

Serie A

AC Milan

2 – 4
FULL-TIME

Bologna

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · 18:30

Our score 2-1Missed

🔥 HOT TIP✗ Lost

AC Milan to win@ 1.80

Betano

AC Milan are unbeaten in eight Serie A games this season, have won all three home league matches and hold a 3-2 head-to-head edge over Bologna across the last five competitive meetings.

⚡ Over 1.5 goalsW@ 1.34Probable

⚡ Both teams to scoreW@ 1.95Possible

Form: AC Milan have won three of their last five matches across all competitions; Bologna have won two of their last five.
Team news: AC Milan are without Chukwueze, Gabbia, Gila, Loftus-Cheek, Moreira, Rabiot and Saelemaekers through injury, while Bologna are without Holm, Orsolini and Piccoli through injury and Enem is doubtful with an Achilles tendon problem.

Read the post-match analysis →Read the match previewTrack Record

AC Milan welcome Bologna to kick off Wednesday evening's Serie A action, and the bookmakers make the hosts clear favourites, pricing an AC Milan win at 1.80 with Betano — a 55% chance once the margin is removed. Bologna arrive at 5.33 with 1xBet, a 19% chance, and the draw sits in between at 26%.

Form guide

AC Milan

Udinese0-2AC Milan

Bournemouth3-0AC Milan

AC Milan3-2Atalanta

Red Bull Salzburg0-4AC Milan

Sassuolo1-1AC Milan

Bologna

Cagliari0-2Bologna

Bologna1-3Inter

Lecce1-2Bologna

Bologna1-1Torino

Napoli1-0Bologna

Last 5 meetings

3 Feb 2026Serie ABologna0-3AC Milan

14 Sep 2025Serie AAC Milan1-0Bologna

14 May 2025Coppa ItaliaAC Milan0-1Bologna

9 May 2025Serie AAC Milan3-1Bologna

27 Feb 2025Serie ABologna2-1AC Milan

Our prediction: AC Milan to win

AC Milan’s league season has been consistently productive. They have scored 16 goals and conceded seven across eight games, averaging two goals per game, and their home record stands out: three matches played, three won, eight scored and just two conceded. Over their last five matches in all competitions they have won three, scoring ten goals in total, and their average expected goals across those five matches is 2.19, comfortably above the 1.52 they have allowed.

AC Milan carry a heavier injury burden, with seven players ruled out — Chukwueze with a hip injury, Gabbia, Loftus-Cheek, Moreira and Rabiot with thigh or calf problems, and Gila and Saelemaekers with ankle injuries.

Other tips

Over 1.5 goals is rated Probable. The one concern is that the three most recent competitive meetings between these sides produced only five goals in total, and neither team scored in all three of those games. Yet AC Milan have failed to score in just one of their last five matches across all competitions and have not lost a league game all season. Against that, one of Bologna's three away games among the last five had one goal or fewer.

Both teams to score is rated Possible. AC Milan have kept just two clean sheets in their last five matches overall. On balance, the Possible rating reflects a genuinely open question, but the scoring patterns lean in favour of both sides contributing. Against that, Bologna failed to score in one of their three away games among the last five.

A 2-1 home win is our predicted score — AC Milan’s home strength and head-to-head edge outweigh Bologna’s capacity for the unexpected, even with the absentees factored in.

Odds before kick-offOur pick: AC Milan to win

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Betano	1.80	3.65	5.20
1xBet	1.77	3.81	5.33
bet365	1.73	3.60	5.25

Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.

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