Analysis

RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV: Gruda wins it after Perišić misses a penalty

Reviewed by Elison · Tue 13 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions League · League phase

RB Leipzig
1 – 0
FULL-TIME
PSV Eindhoven

Tuesday 13 October 2026 · 21:00

Our score 2-1MissedHot tip RB Leipzig to win✓ Won

RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 in the league phase of the UEFA Champions League, with Brajan Gruda’s 75th-minute goal deciding a match in which Ivan Perišić missed a first-half penalty for PSV.

How the game unfolded

PSV Eindhoven were awarded a penalty after a VAR review in the 16th minute, but Ivan Perišić missed the spot kick three minutes later. Sergiño Dest was booked for PSV in the 43rd minute, and the sides went in goalless at the break.

The only goal of the match arrived in the 75th minute when Brajan Gruda scored to put RB Leipzig ahead at 1-0. Antonio Nusa was booked for Leipzig in the 81st minute, and Armando Obispo thought he had equalised shortly afterwards, only for the effort to be ruled out by a VAR review for offside. Obispo was then booked in the 85th minute. Both coaches made changes in the last half-hour, and Leipzig held on to claim a 1-0 victory in the league phase of the UEFA Champions League — their third clean sheet in their last three home games.

The numbers

Leipzig finished with 19 shots to PSV’s 11, and seven on target compared to five for the visitors — despite PSV holding 57 per cent of possession and completing 389 accurate passes to Leipzig’s 289. PSV won 12 corners to Leipzig’s six, and also had five offsides, while Leipzig had none. Leipzig’s expected goals figure of 2.10 was notably higher than PSV’s 1.40, reflecting how effectively they threatened despite operating without the ball for much of the match.

PSV finished with two yellow cards to Leipzig’s one. Leipzig had no red cards, and neither did PSV.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Leipzig have won three, kept three clean sheets and conceded six. Their home record in that span stands at three wins from three, with twelve goals scored and none conceded — this result extending that unblemished home run.

Conclusion

For Leipzig, the victory continued a formidable home record and demonstrated a clinical edge — more shots, a higher expected goals figure, and ultimately the goal that mattered, despite spending less time with the ball. For PSV, Perišić’s missed penalty proved costly.

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Reviewed by Elison

Writes match previews, predictions, and post-match analysis for MatchDayValue, covering the top five European leagues and Europe's continental competitions.

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