RB Leipzig vs PSV prediction: home fortress meets travelling trouble
Reviewed by Elison · Tue 13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League · League phase
RB LeipzigFULL-TIME
PSV EindhovenTuesday 13 October 2026 · 21:00
Our score 2-1Missed
RB Leipzig to win@ 1.81
1xBet
Leipzig have kept two clean sheets in their two home games in the last five while PSV have failed to keep a clean sheet in either of their two away games, pointing to a home win where the visitors still find the net once.
Form: Leipzig have won both home games in their last five while PSV have lost their one away game in the last three.
Team news: Leipzig are without Baumgartner, Guiu, Kone, Ouédraogo and Zingerle, while PSV are missing Lammers, Nagalo, Pepi, Pléa, Schouten, Sildillia, Wanner and Ouaissa.
Read the post-match analysis →Read the match previewTrack Record
League Phase clash shaped by contrasting home and away records
This league phase fixture in the UEFA Champions League brings together two sides whose recent records tell very different stories depending on where they play. RB Leipzig have been a formidable force on home soil, while PSV Eindhoven’s travels have proven far more treacherous. The absences on both sides add further intrigue to what promises to be an open European night.
Form guide
RB Leipzig
6-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
2-0RB Leipzig5-0
Hamburger SV
4-1RB Leipzig
3-1RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven
2-0
Heerenveen
3-2PSV Eindhoven4-1
Sparta Rotterdam1-1
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-3PSV EindhovenOur prediction: RB Leipzig to win 2-1
The case for a Leipzig home win is built on a clear pattern from recent results. Leipzig have won both home games in their last five, keeping clean sheets in each of those two fixtures. PSV, by contrast, have failed to keep a clean sheet in either of their two away games in the last five, and lost their one away game in the last three. That combination strongly favours the hosts.
Bookmakers agree, pricing Leipzig as clear favourites. The best available price on a Leipzig win stands at 1.81, while the draw is available at 4.62. We expect Leipzig to control enough of this game at home to claim the three points, though PSV’s attacking threat — they have scored in each of their last five outings — means a consolation goal for the visitors is well within reach, giving us a predicted 2-1 scoreline.
Leipzig’s injury list is significant, with Baumgartner, Guiu, Kone, Ouédraogo and Zingerle all ruled out. PSV are even more stretched, missing Lammers, Nagalo, Pepi, Pléa, Schouten, Sildillia, Wanner and Ouaissa. Those absences, particularly for PSV, weaken their capacity to contain Leipzig at home and to threaten consistently in attack.
Other tips to consider
We are also recommending Over 2.5 goals at a best price of 1.34. Leipzig scored eleven goals across their two home games in the last five, and PSV found the net in all five of their last five matches. The ingredients for a productive game are present, even accounting for the absentees.
Both teams to score at 1.36 is a natural companion tip. PSV have scored in every one of their last five games and both teams found the net in four of PSV’s last five across all competitions. While Leipzig’s home clean sheet record in this run is strong, PSV’s consistent scoring form makes it hard to back them staying off the scoresheet entirely.
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet |
1.81 | 4.62 | 4.07 |
 Betano |
1.78 | 4.55 | 4.10 |
 Betfair |
1.75 | 4.60 | 3.90 |
Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.
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