SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction: Mainz to edge a high-scoring Friday evening clash
By Elison · Fri 30 Oct 2026Bundesliga
SV ElversbergFULL-TIME
FSV Mainz 05Friday 30 October 2026 · 20:30
Our score 1-2Missed
FSV Mainz 05 to win@ 2.16
1xBet
FSV Mainz 05 have won all three of their Bundesliga away games this season, scoring ten times and conceding just three, and the bookmakers make them a 44% chance to win here at 2.16 with 1xBet.
Form: Elversberg have lost three of their last five while Mainz have won two of their three away games in their last five.
Team news: Zimmerschied is ruled out with an ankle injury for SV Elversberg, who also have Darvich, Günther, Gyamerah, Pinckert and Seifert doubtful, while Mainz are without Kohr and Silas through injury, with Amiri and Ruoppi doubtful.
Read the post-match analysis →Read the match previewTrack Record
SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05 go into Friday evening’s Bundesliga match level on ten points after seven games, but their trajectories look very different. Elversberg sit eighth with a goal difference of -3, while Mainz are seventh with a positive goal difference of +3. Both sides are coming off midweek DFB-Pokal defeats, giving them each three days of rest before kick-off.
Form guide
SV Elversberg
0-2
SV Darmstadt 98
4-0SV Elversberg4-3
FC Augsburg
1-0SV Elversberg
0-0SV ElversbergFSV Mainz 05
2-0FSV Mainz 052-3
Werder Bremen0-1FSV Mainz 053-4
Bayer Leverkusen
3-4FSV Mainz 05Last 2 meetings
Our prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to win
SV Elversberg’s home record in the Bundesliga tells a contrasting story. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 across their three home league games this season, winning two but also losing one. Their expected goals average across their last five matches sits at 1.50, against an average xG against of 1.89, suggesting they have been creating less than they concede in terms of quality. Mainz, by contrast, have averaged 1.98 xG across their last five matches.
Elversberg have also failed to score in four of their last five across all competitions, which points clearly toward the visitors taking the points.
Other tips
Both teams to score is rated Probable, with the best price at 1.44. However, the bookmakers put both teams scoring at a 66% chance, and Mainz have conceded in four of their last five, keeping just one clean sheet, while Elversberg's two home games among their last five produced both teams scoring once and four goals scored at home. A predicted score of 1-2 lands squarely in that territory. The main risk is SV Elversberg's blank home games.
Over 2.5 goals is rated Probable, available at a best price of 1.50, and the bookmakers make it a 64% chance. Against that, two of FSV Mainz 05's three away games among the last five had two goals or fewer.
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet |
3.20 | 4.16 | 2.16 |
 bet365 |
3.10 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
 Betano |
3.05 | 3.90 | 2.15 |
Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.
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Earlier on SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05
Our previous coverage of both clubs.
FC Schalke 040FSV Mainz 051FC Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05: Tietz strikes early to give Mainz a clinical away win
FSV Mainz 053Bayer Leverkusen4Mainz 3-4 Leverkusen: Diaby decides a seven-goal game
Hamburger SV0FSV Mainz 055
