Preview

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: Bundesliga preview

By Elison · Fri 30 Oct 2026

Bundesliga

SV Elversberg

VS
FSV Mainz 05

Friday 30 October 2026 · 20:30

SV Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 on Friday evening in the Bundesliga, with both sides sitting on ten points after seven games and separated only by goal difference in the table.

Form guide

SV Elversberg arrive at this match on a difficult run. Their most recent outing was a 0-2 home defeat to SV Darmstadt 98 in the DFB Pokal three days ago, which followed a 0-4 away loss to RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Before those two defeats, they beat FC Augsburg 4-3 at home — their sole win across their last five games — and prior to that they lost 0-1 away to Union Berlin, with a 0-0 draw away at FC Schalke 04 the earliest of the five. Across those five games, SV Elversberg have won once, drawn once and lost three times, scoring four and conceding ten. The three away games among the last five brought no wins, no goals scored and five conceded, with only one draw to show. In the two home games among their last five, they won once and lost once, scoring four and conceding five.

FSV Mainz 05 come into this fixture with two wins and three losses from their last five games across all competitions. Their most recent match was a 0-2 away defeat to VfL Bochum in the DFB Pokal three days ago, and three days before that they lost 2-3 at home to Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Seven days earlier, they won 1-0 away at FC Schalke 04, while the game before that was a 3-4 home loss to Bayer Leverkusen. Their fifth most recent result was a 4-3 away win at Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga. In those five games they have scored ten and conceded twelve. The two home games among the last five brought no wins, five scored and seven conceded, while the three away games produced two wins and one loss.

Head to head

SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05 have met twice in competitive football in recent seasons, both times in the DFB Pokal and both at Elversberg's ground.

Team news

SV Elversberg have a lengthy absentee list heading into Friday’s game. Tom Zimmerschied is ruled out with an ankle injury. Darvich is a doubt with a hamstring injury, Günther is doubtful after a knock, Gyamerah is a doubt with a thigh injury, Pinckert is doubtful with a muscle injury, and Seifert is also doubtful with an ankle injury.

FSV Mainz 05 are also without a number of players. Dominik Kohr is ruled out with a foot injury and Silas is ruled out with a broken shinbone. Amiri is a doubt with a knee injury, and Ruoppi is also doubtful with a knee injury. Amiri had contributed two goals and three assists in eight appearances this season before his injury concern.

What to watch

SV Elversberg have won two and lost one of their three home league games this season, scoring 8 and conceding 7 at a rate of 2.67 scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their average xG across their last five matches stands at 1.50, with an average xG against of 1.89, suggesting they have been creating less than they have been conceding in terms of chances.

Mainz's average xG across their last five matches is 1.98, with an average xG against of 1.88.

The bookmakers make FSV Mainz 05 the more likely winners at 44%, with SV Elversberg given a 31% chance and a draw at 25%. With both teams having shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games, over 2.5 goals is rated a 64% chance, and both teams scoring is given a 66% chance by the market.

Closing

Two sides pulling in different directions — Elversberg’s struggles away from home offset by reasonable form at their own ground, Mainz carrying an exceptional away record but failing to win at home — meet in a fixture where both the goals market and Mainz’s road record point squarely toward the visitors. SV Elversberg’s home support and attacking output make them dangerous, but their absentee list and the pattern of recent form give Mainz the edge on paper for Friday evening’s Bundesliga meeting.

Earlier on SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05

Our previous coverage of both clubs.

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By Elison

Writes match previews, predictions, and post-match analysis for MatchDayValue, covering the top five European leagues and Europe's continental competitions.

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