Analysis

Frosinone 5-1 Lecce: Bîrligea brace caps a comprehensive home win

By Elison · Thu 29 Oct 2026

Serie A

Frosinone
5 – 1
FULL-TIME
Lecce

Thursday 29 October 2026 · 18:30

Our score 2-1MissedHot tip Frosinone to win✓ Won

Frosinone beat Lecce 5-1 in Serie A to record a third win in their last five matches, with Daniel Bîrligea scoring twice after coming on as a substitute and goals earlier from Matteo Cichella, Giacomo Calò and Antonio Raimondo completing a commanding performance at home.

How the game unfolded

Frosinone took the lead in the 25th minute when Matteo Cichella scored, with Farès Ghedjemis providing the assist. Tiago Gabriel was booked in the 38th minute. Giacomo Calò then doubled the lead from the penalty spot in first-half stoppage time.

Oumar Ngom was booked in the 51st minute. Antonio Raimondo extended the lead in the 59th minute, assisted by Giorgi Kvernadze. Frosinone made changes in the 70th minute, and Daniel Bîrligea, one of those introduced, scored in the 72nd minute — assisted by Romano Schmid — with the goal confirmed after a VAR review. Jamil Siebert was booked in the 79th minute.

Joël Monteiro pulled one back for Lecce in the 82nd minute, assisted by Olaf Gorter. Bîrligea scored again deep into stoppage time, with Kvernadze providing the assist once more to seal the result.

The numbers

Frosinone dominated possession and created the greater volume of chances, finishing with 60% of the ball and an expected goals figure of 3.40 against Lecce’s 1.42. Frosinone attempted 26 shots in total — 17 inside the box — landing nine on target, while Lecce managed 15 shots and six on goal. Frosinone’s nine home goals across the two home games among their last three came at a considerable rate, conceding just three in those matches.

Frosinone went into the match seventh in Serie A on 14 points from eight games, having scored 17 and conceded 13 in the league, averaging 2.13 goals scored per game. Lecce went in fourteenth on nine points from eight games, having scored nine and conceded 14 in the league, with an average of 1.13 goals per game. Lecce had five players ruled out before the match — Lassana Coulibaly, Santiago Pierotti, Ivan Ilić, Kialonda Gaspar and Medon Berisha.

In the five previous meetings between these sides, Lecce had won three and drawn two, with Frosinone failing to win any of them. Lecce have conceded 12 across their last five matches, losing four of them, and failed to score in two of those five.

Frosinone's average xG across their last five matches was 1.83, exceeding it in this match.

Earlier on Frosinone and Lecce

Our previous coverage of both clubs.

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By Elison

Writes match previews, predictions, and post-match analysis for MatchDayValue, covering the top five European leagues and Europe's continental competitions.

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