Frosinone vs Lecce prediction: Frosinone to win at home
By Elison · Thu 29 Oct 2026Serie A
FrosinoneFULL-TIME
LecceThursday 29 October 2026 · 18:30
Our score 2-1Missed
Frosinone to win@ 1.75
Betano
Frosinone have won three of their four home league games this season and the bookmakers make them a 56% chance to win this match.
Form: Frosinone are unbeaten in their two home league games among their last five, while Lecce have lost three of their last five.
Team news: Grillitsch is ruled out for Frosinone with a thigh injury, while Lecce are without Berisha, Coulibaly, Ilić and Pierotti through injury and Gaspar through suspension.
Read the post-match analysis →Read the match previewTrack Record
Frosinone sit seventh in Serie A with 14 points from eight games, and their home record is the backbone of that standing: three wins from four home league games this season, scoring nine times and conceding five at an average of 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home game. Lecce arrive fourteenth, nine points from eight games, and have lost five of those eight league matches. The bookmakers make Frosinone a 56% chance to win this evening, with their best price of 1.75 with Betano.
Form guide
Frosinone
4-4Frosinone4-2
Sassuolo
3-0Frosinone2-0
Como
1-1FrosinoneLecce
0-2
Juventus
0-3Lecce1-2
Bologna
3-0Lecce3-2
MonzaLast 5 meetings
Our prediction: Frosinone to win
Frosinone's two home games among their last five produced two wins, six goals scored and two conceded, with no defeats. Their overall last five across all competitions brought 11 goals scored and 10 conceded, underlining a side that attacks freely but does not always keep things tight. Lecce, by contrast, have won just one of their last four matches in all competitions and scored only four times across those four games. Their away record this season in Serie A shows two wins and two defeats from four away league games, with five goals scored at 1.25 per game and four conceded at 1.00 per game. The head-to-head history does favour Lecce — they have won three and drawn two of the last five competitive meetings without Frosinone winning any of them — but Frosinone's home strength and Lecce's recent struggles in front of goal make a home win the most likely outcome tonight.
Other tips
Both teams to score is rated Probable, and the bookmakers back that view with a 66% chance. The clearest argument against it is that Lecce have kept a clean sheet in one of their last three matches and failed to score in one of those three as well. A predicted score of 2-1 puts both teams on the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 goals is also rated Probable, with the bookmakers putting it at 67%. The case against is that Lecce have conceded only four goals across their last three matches in all competitions, suggesting they can keep things relatively tight on their day. Against that, one of Frosinone's two home games among the last five had two goals or fewer.
Frosinone's absentee list is short, with Grillitsch the only player ruled out. Lecce's five absentees — Berisha, Coulibaly, Gaspar, Ilić and Pierotti, ruled out through injuries and suspension — strengthen the case for Frosinone to take control and win this Serie A match at the final whistle.
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betano |
1.75 | 4.40 | 4.40 |
 1xBet |
1.72 | 4.37 | 4.88 |
 Betfair |
1.70 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
Prices as published before kick-off, kept as a record.
18+ only. Please bet responsibly — BeGambleAware.org
Earlier on Frosinone and Lecce
Our previous coverage of both clubs.
Atalanta4Frosinone4Atalanta 4-4 Frosinone: Aleksa Terzić earns Frosinone a point
Lecce1Bologna2
