Frosinone vs Lecce: Serie A preview

Serie A

Frosinone

D12 Sep · Genoa 1-1 FrosinoneW20 Sep · Frosinone 2-0 ComoL10 Oct · Napoli 3-0 FrosinoneW16 Oct · Frosinone 4-2 SassuoloD25 Oct · Atalanta 4-4 Frosinone

VS

Lecce

W13 Sep · Lecce 3-2 MonzaL20 Sep · AC Milan 3-0 LecceL11 Oct · Lecce 1-2 BolognaW18 Oct · Udinese 0-3 LecceL25 Oct · Lecce 0-2 Juventus

Thursday 29 October 2026 · 18:30

Read our prediction →Read the post-match analysisTrack Record

Frosinone host Lecce in Serie A on Thursday evening, with the home side looking to build on a solid points return and the visitors desperate to arrest a run of poor results. Both clubs played their most recent matches on 25 October, so each arrives with four days of rest.

Form guide

Frosinone head into this fixture with two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five matches. Their most recent outing, away at Atalanta on 25 October, ended in a remarkable 4-4 draw. Nine days before that, they beat Sassuolo 4-2 at home, and six days before that home win came a 3-0 defeat away to Napoli. Earlier in the run, they won 2-0 at home to Como on 20 September and drew 1-1 away at Genoa on 12 September. Across those five games they scored eleven and conceded ten. The split between home and away is telling: in the two home games among their last five they won both, scoring six and conceding two, while in the three away games among their last five they did not win once, drawing twice and losing once, scoring five and conceding eight.

Lecce have won two and lost three of their last five matches, with no draws. Their most recent game, at home to Juventus on 25 October, ended in a 0-2 defeat. Seven days before that they won 3-0 away at Udinese, and seven days before that away win they lost 1-2 at home to Bologna. Earlier in the run, they lost 0-3 away to AC Milan on 20 September and beat Monza 3-2 at home on 13 September. They have scored seven and conceded nine across those five games. In the three home games among their last five, Lecce won one and lost two, scoring four and conceding six; in the two away games among their last five, they won one and lost one, scoring three and conceding three.

Head to head

The record between these clubs over the last five competitive meetings firmly favours Lecce, who have won three times with two draws and no wins for Frosinone. Both teams scored in two of the five meetings, and nine goals were shared across them. The most recent fixture between the clubs was a 1-1 draw at Frosinone on 3 March 2024. Before that, Lecce won 2-1 at home to Frosinone on 16 December 2023, and in the three Serie B meetings from 2021 and 2022, Lecce won twice — 1-0 at home on 2 April 2022 and 3-0 at Frosinone on 20 March 2021 — with a 0-0 draw at Frosinone on 20 November 2021 in between.

Team news

Frosinone are without Grillitsch, who is ruled out with a thigh injury.

Lecce face a considerably longer absentee list. Berisha, Coulibaly and Ilić are all ruled out with thigh injuries. Gaspar is suspended following a red card, and Pierotti misses out with an ankle injury.

What to watch

Frosinone sit seventh in Serie A with 14 points from eight games, scoring at a rate of 2.13 goals per game. Their home league record is particularly strong: three wins from four home games this season, scoring nine and conceding five at a rate of 2.25 scored per game. Over their last five matches their average xG was 1.83, though their average xG against of 2.58 suggests they have been exposed at the back.

Lecce are fourteenth with nine points from eight league games, having won three, drawn none and lost five. They have conceded 14 league goals this season at a rate of 1.75 per game, and scored nine at 1.13 per game. Their average xG across their last five matches was 1.42, against an average xG against of 1.72. The absentees weaken a Lecce side that has already found goals hard to come by.

The head-to-head record gives the visitors historical reason for confidence, but Frosinone’s home form this season is a countervailing factor. The bookmakers make Frosinone a 56% chance to win the match, with Lecce’s chances assessed at 21% and a draw at 23%. With both sides capable of scoring — both teams are given a 66% chance of finding the net — and over 2.5 goals rated at 67%, an open and high-scoring game looks likely based on recent patterns from both sides.

Closing

Frosinone's home advantage, the state of the Serie A table and Lecce's lengthy injury list all point towards a difficult evening for the visitors.